Spatial Load Forecasting for distribution and transmission system

The methodology for a spatial forecast links consumer and usage growth on each delivery point’s non-coincident peak demand.  The strength of this technique lies in the granularity of the delivery point level sample size.  This spatial forecast is extremely useful for distribution and transmission system planners who are concerned about load growth at this level because of the facilities that they will recommend to serve it.  System planners are concerned with the annual maximum peak demand for each delivery point, so this is examined and forecast. 

In order to directly support long-range distribution planning, a spatial forecast can be developed for each delivery point on the distribution system.  These forecasts are then calibrated to the long-range forecast for the entire system. The combination of these two forecasts gives a more robust understanding of load growth to allow planners and utility personnel to make sound planning decisions about the distribution and transmission systems.