Long-term energy and demand forecasts

Load forecasts have long been recognized as the initial building block for all utility planning efforts. While changing market structures have altered the types of forecasts that are most useful, the link between sound evaluation and design of infrastructure improvements is irreducible. Physical system planners condition their alternatives on future views regarding load levels and locations. Financial planners tie both revenue and expense forecasts to expected future energy sales and peak demands.

Power System Engineering, Inc. (PSE) provides the following forecasting services to our clients:

• Integrated system forecasts for utilities and all of their member systems.
• Top-down models.
• Residential consumer forecasts based on proprietary PSE models.
• Econometric forecasting of class energy sales and consumers.
• End-use forecasting for residential and agricultural sectors.
• Integrated end-use and econometric forecasts.
• Forecast program work plans.
• Low-cost provision of regional economic and demographic data digests.
• Tracking analyses to assess historic forecast performance and recommend changes.
• Monthly, seasonal, and annual peak demand forecasts.
• Load shape forecasting.
• Short-term monthly forecasts for budgeting.
• Weather normalization to support rate studies.
• Small-area forecasts to support distribution system planning.
• Scenario analysis.
• Probabilistic forecasts to support risk measurement and management programs.
• Training.
• Testimony.